Financial stability limits on fiscal space
Summary
Focus
Common indicators of fiscal sustainability such as the interest rate-growth differential (r – g) and analyses focused on long-term structural factors do not always consider the role of financial intermediation and the procyclical behaviour of liquidity and risk.
Contribution
We introduce a framework that explicitly incorporates financial int...
This analysis presents a compelling case for rethinking fiscal sustainability by integrating financial stability into the equation. The strongest version of this narrative is its rigorous challenge to conventional wisdom, demonstrating how financial intermediation dynamics—often ignored in macroeconomic models—can impose hidden constraints on fiscal policy. By identifying four specific amplification mechanisms, the framework provides a structured way to assess how financial market conditions can...
