The S&P 500 posted its second straight winning week, finishing up 1.3% from last Friday.
Key Takeaways
- The S&P 500 posted a 1.3% weekly gain.
- The index is currently sitting 0.5% below its record close reached on June 2nd, 2026.
- The S&P 500 is currently up 10.7% year-to-date, while the S&P Equal Weight is up 11.8% year-to-date.
Here is a snapshot of the index from the past week:
The index is currently sitting 0.5% below its record close reached on June 2nd, 2026. The table below summarizes the number of record highs reached each year dating back to 2013.
Here is a snapshot of the index from the past six months with a 50-day moving average:
S&P 500: A Perspective on Drawdowns
On October 9, 2007 the S&P 500 reached a then all-time high, closing the day at 1565.15. Then on March 9, 2009, the index dropped ~57% off of its high from exactly 17 months before, closing the day at 676.53. This time period became known as the Global Financial Crisis. It took over 5 years before the index reached a new then all-time high on March 28, 2013, where it closed out at 1569.19. The chart below is a snapshot of record highs and selloffs since the 2007 peak reached on October 9, 2007.
What happens if we take out the Global Financial Crisis? Here’s a snapshot the same chart above where the start date has been changed to the trough reached on March 9, 2009. Note the recent selloffs in 2022.
Here are a few tables with the number of days of a 1% or greater change in either direction and the number of days of corrections (down 10% or more from the record high).
And here is a linear chart of the index since October 9, 2007:
Here is a linearly scaled version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages. The index has been above the 50-day moving average since June 29th, 2026 and above the 200-day moving average since April 8th, 2026. Additionally the 50-day moving average has been above the 200-day moving average since July 1st, 2025.
S&P 500: A Perspective on Volatility
For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. On April 9th, 2025, the index experienced its largest intraday price volatility (10.77%) since December 24th, 2018 (19.10%). Also included is the 20-day moving average to identify trends in volatility. Over the past 20 days, the average percent change from the intraday low to the intraday high is 1.05%.
S&P 500 versus S&P Equal Weight
The S&P 500 is market cap-weighted index which includes roughly the 500 largest U.S. stocks spanning 11 sectors. The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index includes the same constituents as the S&P 500 but each company is equally weighted at a fixed weight. So how do these two indexes match up against each other this year?
The S&P 500 is currently up 10.7% year to date, while the S&P Equal Weight is up 11.8% year to date.
ETFs associated with the S&P 500 include: iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPYM), and Invesco S&P 500® Equal Weight ETF (RSP).
Originally published on Advisor Perspectives
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Facts Only
* The S&P 500 posted a 1.3% weekly gain.
* The index is currently 0.5% below its record close reached on June 2nd, 2026.
* The S&P 500 is up 10.7% year-to-date.
* The S&P Equal Weight is up 11.8% year-to-date.
* The S&P 500 reached an all-time high of 1565.15 on October 9, 2007.
* The index dropped approximately 57% from its high by March 9, 2009.
* A new all-time high was reached on March 28, 2013, closing at 1569.19.
* The largest intraday price volatility since December 24th, 2018, occurred on April 9th, 2025, with a range of 10.77%.
* The S&P 500 is market cap-weighted; the S&P Equal Weight Index weights each company equally.
* ETFs associated with the S&P 500 include IVV, SPY, VOO, SPYM, and RSP.
Executive Summary
The S&P 500 posted a 1.3% gain in its second consecutive winning week. The index is currently 0.5% below the record close reached on June 2nd, 2026. Year-to-date performance shows the S&P 500 at 10.7%, while the S&P Equal Weight index is up 11.8%.
The analysis of historical data surrounding the S&P 500 since October 9, 2007, reveals significant volatility. The period following the peak of October 9, 2007, included a severe drawdown, with the index dropping approximately 57% by March 9, 2009, which marked the start of the Global Financial Crisis. A subsequent record high was reached on March 28, 2013, closing at 1569.19.
Volatility metrics indicate that the largest intraday price volatility since December 24th, 2018, occurred on April 9th, 2025, reaching 10.77%. Trends identified by moving averages show that the index has been above the 50-day moving average since June 29th, 2026, and above the 200-day moving average since April 8th, 2026, with the 50-day average remaining above the 200-day average since July 1st, 2025.
The S&P 500 is a market capitalization-weighted index, whereas the S&P Equal Weight Index features equal weighting for its constituents. This difference resulted in the S&P Equal Weight index showing a higher year-to-date gain compared to the standard S&P 500.
Full Take
The comparison between the market-cap-weighted S&P 500 and the equal-weighted S&P Equal Weight reveals a divergence in performance over time, specifically showing that the latter achieved a higher year-to-date gain (11.8% versus 10.7%). This suggests that factor exposure matters significantly, as market capitalization weighting filters results differently than equal weighting across periods of growth or stress.
The historical view of volatility, especially when contextualized around the Global Financial Crisis of 2007–2009, implies that periods of peak valuation are not inherently associated with sustained stability; rather, they frame extreme risk cycles. The trajectory moving from the 2007 peak through the subsequent trough demonstrates that recovery is often protracted, as evidenced by the multi-year gap until the next record high in 2013.
The shift in focus from a simple performance metric to volatility analysis—overlaying price with intraday range and utilizing moving averages—forces an examination of dynamic risk rather than static levels. The finding that the index has been above key moving averages since specific dates (e.g., above the 50-day average since June 29th, 2026) establishes a baseline for trend analysis within this timeframe. This structure prompts questioning: If volatility remains high, how do the different weighting schemes—market cap versus equal weight—influence the experience of those fluctuations for investors? What historical precedents exist for market behavior when shifts in underlying correlation (as suggested by the comparison between the two indices) occur?
Sentinel — Human
The text functions primarily as a structured presentation of financial statistics and historical index data, typical of analytical reporting, but lacks strong subjective voice.
