- Key Takeaways
- How the U.S. Is Vulnerable to Space Attack
- The Bruno Scenario and Its Strategic Logic
- Satellite Functions That Create U.S. Exposure
- China’s Counterspace Capabilities and the U.S. Debate
- Undersea Cables as the Other Half of the Scenario
- Why a China Conflict Could Begin With Ambiguity
- Resilience, Reconstitution, and Protection
- The Role of Commercial Space and the Spac...
This analysis presents a compelling but speculative scenario of how space and undersea cable disruptions could destabilize U.S. military operations in a China conflict. The strongest version of this narrative—steelman—highlights legitimate vulnerabilities in U.S. reliance on space-based systems, where even partial disruptions could create strategic blind spots. The scenario’s emphasis on ambiguity as a tactical advantage is plausible, as initial failures could be misattributed to technical issue...
