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Conor here: A useful reminder considering the increasing resurgence of open eugenics in high places. Unfortunately these claims are only likely to grow louder as the powerful look for scapegoats for their failures abroad.
By Robert Chernomas, a Professor of Economics at the University of Manitoba, and Ian Hudson, a professor in the Economics Department at the University of Manitoba. Originally published at The Conversation.
Political leaders like United States President Donald Trump and business oligarchs like Elon Musk have increasingly suggested that human behaviour and social outcomes are rooted in genetics.
Trump has repeatedly suggested that problematic behaviours are genetic and inherent, while Musk has advocated for “intelligent” people to have children. His Grokipedia even frames racist concepts like racial nationalism positively while drawing on eugenic ideas, claiming that preserving distinct racial genetic profiles “maximizes individuals’ inclusive fitness.”
These arguments are taking us back to one of the darkest periods in human intellectual history: when eugenics was alive and well. Eugenics is the mistaken belief that a society’s genetic pool can be “improved” by limiting the reproduction of those deemed inferior and encouraging the breeding of those deemed superior.
Eugenics is now regarded as “the most egregious example of the destructive misuse of science in all human history,” as evolutionary biologist Richard Prum put it.
Yet this pseudoscientific way of thinking has not disappeared. It has re-emerged in new forms, primarily among tech capitalists and conservative politicians advocating for policies like forced migration, fertility assistance and genetic engineering to create a “fitter” nation.
In our recent book, The American Gene: Unnatural Selection Along Class, Race, and Gender Lines, we show that differences in complex behavioural traits among groups are not the natural outcome of inborn human biology, but the product of systemic economic inequality.
We can illustrate this by focusing on two of the most popularly discussed in the nature-versus-nurture debate: health and intelligence.
The Limits of the Human Genome
The US$3 billion Human Genome Project set out to identify “the key genes underlying the great medical scourges of humankind.” Bill Clinton called it “the most important, most wondrous map ever produced” when he was U.S. president.
Yet except for rare diseases caused by one or a few genes, genomic data has had limited success in predicting complex diseases like heart disease, cancer, mental health disorders or addiction.
Scientists have found dozens of genetic variations associated with complex diseases, but the combined effects of these genes have explained very little about heritable risk. Even with the complete human genome sequenced, predicting health outcomes from genetics has proven challenging.
In fact, in 2013, the Food and Drug Administration ordered 23andMe to stop marketing certain genetic disease risk information to consumers until they received regulatory clearance.
Environment Shapes Health More Than Genes
Some scientists, including molecular biologist James Watson, the first director of the Human Genome Project and a disgraced Nobel laureate, have argued that genetics largely determine health hierarchies.
He once suggested that New Jersey’s high cancer rates were mostly due to residents’ “genetic constitution” rather than environmental factors.
This logic is flawed. It would suggest that the people of New Jersey had uniquely cancer-prone DNA compared to the rest of the population, which seems unlikely. Further undermining Watson’s theory is the fact that cancer rates followed the changing location of the chemical industry, which fled New Jersey’s increasingly costly environmental regulations for Louisiana.
“Cancer Alley” in Baton Rouge, Louisiana — an 85-mile stretch of the Mississippi River lined with some 200 fossil fuel and petrochemical production plants — became home to the nation’s highest cancer rates, affecting the region’s disproportionate Black and Brown population.
In the words of bio-statistician Melanie Goodman: “ZIP Code is a better predictor of health than genetic code.”
Further evidence against genetic determinism comes from migrant studies. Research has found ethnic groups with low breast cancer rates in their home countries, such as China, Japan and the Philippines, often experience higher disease rates after migration.
Similar patterns appear in studies of coronary heart disease among people of Japanese ancestry who lived in Japan, Hawaii and California. Those who adopted more westernized lifestyles had higher rates of disease.
Intelligence Is a Product of Opportunity
Researchers like Richard Hernstein, Charles Murray, David Reich and Nicholas Wade have insisted on a link between genetics, race or ethnicity, and what they describe as a hierarchy of intelligence.
In these arguments, Ashkenazi Jews are often placed at the top of the hierarchy, while people of African descent are placed lower. Although the discussion always revolves around genetic inheritance, they have yet to identify the specific genes that would justify this hierarchy.
Where proponents attempted to provide empirical support, the argument often rested on a residual claim: even after accounting for all the social variables that might influence intelligence, an unexplained component remained and was therefore presumed to be genetic.
On the other side of the debate are researchers like James Flynn, who argued intelligence is determined more by environment than genetics.
Flynn documented a steady rise in intelligence test scores across the 20th century in a pattern now known as the “Flynn Effect.” He found that between 1933 and 1983, American IQs increased by around three points per decade. He argued people’s minds were sharpened by better education and more intellectually demanding jobs and hobbies.
Flynn also found larger impacts in lower-income nations. Kenya and several Caribbean nations, for example, had much larger increases in IQ scores than Scandinavian countries because, he argued, the conditions for learning had improved more in the former nations than the latter.
Lived Experience Influences Our Genes
Advances in the revolutionary field of epigenetics have shifted the nature-versus-nurture debate by identifying a pathway through which lived experience can impact what were previously thought to be fixed processes.
Epigenetics refers to mechanisms that affect gene expression — how much a gene is used or not — without changing the DNA sequence itself. These mechanisms function somewhat like a dimmer switch, turning genes on and off, or adjusting the intensity of their effects.
Growing evidence suggests that epigenetic mechanisms are impacted by the conditions in which people live, which in turn influence human traits and outcomes. Some of these epigenetic changes may even be transmitted across generations.
In other words, nurture has a direct influence on nature.
Claims about the supposed genetic superiority of some human beings over others rarely account for the complexity of these additional types of inheritance.
Opportunity Matters More Than Genetics
A growing body of research suggests that social and economic opportunity plays a far greater role in shaping human outcomes than genetic inheritance.
As biologist Siddhartha Mukherjee pointed out, “it is impossible to ascertain any human, genetic potential without first equalizing environments.”
Decades earlier, Henry Wallace, who served as vice-president under Franklin D. Roosevelt, similarly suggested that if children from rich and poor families were given the same food clothing, education, care and protection, class lines would likely disappear.
Historical evidence supports this view. Our research shows that when structural barriers are reduced and marginalized groups have the same opportunities as more privileged groups, inequalities shrink dramatically.
By way of example, the economic and social changes following U.S. civil rights legislation led to major improvements in the health, education and income of Black Americans — despite no change in their genetic makeup — highlighting the role of structural racism and social policy.
People should be significantly more concerned with the effects of the policies imposed by the Trumps and Musks of the world than the DNA passed on by their parents.
In the past I’ve been somewhat interested in the subject of race and IQ, but I have found that much of what is written appears to be written for and by people with low IQ. It’s just bursting at the seams with methodological errors, and really obvious ones at that.
My conclusion is that much of this field is just a ruse to flatter people’s egos.
Your Honor, I submit the cases of George W. Bush and Donald J. Trump.
Au contraire, why would financial and corporate success indicate genetic superiority rather than genetic failing? With rare exception, to succeed in any large organization, one must lie, deceive, manipulate others, and disregard empathy. I can imagine one’s genetics giving them an advantage in willingness and ability to do so, but I would hardly call it superiority.
Well, genes may have a play if one thinks living to 100 is a sign of some superiority. It certainly adds to seniority.
NYT (paywalled)
My family has been very long lived, except for a few struck down by harsh circumstance.
Frankly, with the way the world is going, I’m not sure how much I want to test the hypothesis.
:-(
As for the Eugenicists, they’re certainly ones we can do without.
My understanding is that IQ is about as heritable as height for teens and adults. Brain development takes a while, so studies using younger children add a lot of noise. Not sure why this would be controversial if you limit it to individuals.
Nationwide IQ testing at say 5th grade would still be useful, as the scores tend to get higher, not lower into the late teens. Targeted funding for students that are on the high-tail end of the distribution would be one way to provide upward mobility that is likely to succeed.
It appears that under capitalism, the people making the serious money are collecting percentage based fees on deals funded by OPiuM that are infinitely scalable. I don’t care if its private equity, IPO’s, wealth management, whatever.
Do such people have merit in the sense that a philosopher like Aristotle would recognize? Absolutely not, but that is capitalism. Let’s say that the Epstein class is the Epstein class because of their genetics, does that somehow legitimate people getting rich off dodgy finance deals while other people go without basic amenities?
No one appears to be willing to look in the mirror with respect to how large fortunes come into being. Frankly, it may be controversial, but I don’t think anyone really cares if heart surgeons make 10 times what custodians make, and whether it is genetic or environmental. Its the ultra-high net worth people that distort all the political and social incentives, and what drives them has nothing to do with traditional notions of merit or virtue.
IQ is basically a meaningless statistic, as Nassim Nicholas Taleb says. IQ testing may identify people who are seriously intellectually challenged at the low end of scores and people who are exceptionally good at taking IQ tests at the high end of scores, but it says very little meaningful outside that limited set of outcomes.
The trouble with all statistical comparisons of arbitrary demographic groups is that differences may be “significant” but not very big. And those are differences in averages. But most people interact with people on an individual basis. And averages say nothing about individuals. So you won’t live longer or die earlier because your group’s average is better or worse, or the diet you follow is supposed to be 8% better than some other diet, etc. There’s a tremendous amount of variability within groups. A smarter member of some group that the Murrays and Cricks think of as “inferior” will be smarter than a big chunk of what they consider the “superior” group. And trying to tease out how much of the differences are down to genetics vs. epigenetics vs. environmental chemical exposure vs. child rearing is useless except for the most blindingly obvious cases. Just treat people as roughly equal, which they mostly are, take care of the truly disabled, and cull the psychopaths and sociopaths from the population instead of electing them to governmental positions.

Facts Only

Political leaders like Donald Trump and business figures like Elon Musk have suggested that human behavior and social outcomes are rooted in genetics.
Trump has claimed that problematic behaviors are genetic and inherent.
Musk has advocated for "intelligent" people to have children and has framed racial nationalism positively through eugenic ideas.
Eugenics is the belief that society’s genetic pool can be "improved" by limiting the reproduction of those deemed inferior and encouraging the breeding of those deemed superior.
The Human Genome Project, a $3 billion initiative, aimed to identify key genes underlying major diseases but had limited success in predicting complex diseases like heart disease or cancer.
In 2013, the FDA ordered 23andMe to stop marketing certain genetic disease risk information to consumers until regulatory clearance was obtained.
Cancer rates in "Cancer Alley" in Louisiana, an area with high industrial pollution, are among the highest in the nation, affecting a disproportionate Black and Brown population.
Migrant studies show that ethnic groups with low cancer rates in their home countries often experience higher rates after migration, suggesting environmental factors play a significant role.
Researchers like Richard Hernstein and Charles Murray have argued for a link between genetics, race, and intelligence, though no specific genes have been identified to justify this hierarchy.
James Flynn documented the "Flynn Effect," showing a steady rise in IQ scores over the 20th century due to improved education and living conditions.
Epigenetics shows that lived experiences can influence gene expression without changing the DNA sequence itself.
Social and economic opportunity plays a greater role in shaping human outcomes than genetic inheritance, as seen in improvements among Black Americans following civil rights legislation.

Executive Summary

Political leaders and tech oligarchs, including Donald Trump and Elon Musk, have increasingly promoted genetic determinism, suggesting that human behavior and social outcomes are rooted in genetics. Trump has claimed that problematic behaviors are genetic, while Musk has advocated for "intelligent" people to have more children and has framed racist concepts like racial nationalism positively through eugenic ideas. Eugenics, the pseudoscientific belief that society’s genetic pool can be "improved" by controlling reproduction, has resurfaced in new forms, often advocated by conservative politicians and tech capitalists. However, research shows that differences in complex behavioral traits are not primarily genetic but are shaped by systemic economic inequality. For example, health outcomes are more influenced by environment than genetics, as seen in "Cancer Alley" in Louisiana, where high cancer rates correlate with industrial pollution rather than genetic factors. Similarly, intelligence is more a product of opportunity than genetics, as demonstrated by the "Flynn Effect," which shows rising IQ scores over time due to improved education and living conditions. Epigenetics further complicates the nature-versus-nurture debate by showing how lived experiences can influence gene expression across generations. The article argues that social and economic opportunity plays a far greater role in shaping human outcomes than genetic inheritance, and historical evidence supports this, such as the improvements in health, education, and income among Black Americans following civil rights legislation.

Full Take

The resurgence of eugenic ideas among influential figures like Trump and Musk reflects a broader pattern of using pseudoscience to justify social hierarchies. The strongest version of this narrative is that genetic determinism offers a simplistic explanation for complex social problems, appealing to those who seek to avoid addressing systemic inequalities. However, the article effectively counters this by highlighting the overwhelming evidence that environment, opportunity, and systemic factors shape human outcomes far more than genetics. The pattern of using genetic determinism to scapegoat marginalized groups echoes historical eugenics movements, which were used to justify discrimination and oppression. This narrative benefits those in power by deflecting responsibility for social failures onto supposed genetic inferiority rather than addressing structural inequities.
The root cause of this narrative is a paradigm that prioritizes individualism and biological essentialism over systemic analysis. It assumes that human traits are fixed and hierarchical, ignoring the fluidity of human potential and the impact of environment. The implications of this narrative are profound: it undermines efforts to address inequality by suggesting that social outcomes are predetermined, thereby justifying inaction. It also risks legitimizing policies that could lead to further marginalization of vulnerable groups.
Bridge questions to consider: What historical examples show the dangers of eugenic thinking, and how can we ensure that modern discussions of genetics do not repeat these mistakes? How can we better communicate the role of environment and opportunity in shaping human outcomes to counter genetic determinism?
Counterstrike scan: If this narrative were part of a coordinated influence campaign, the playbook would involve promoting genetic determinism to justify existing power structures and deflect criticism of systemic inequality. The actual content does not fully match this pattern, as it critically examines and refutes genetic determinism rather than promoting it. However, the resurgence of these ideas among influential figures warrants vigilance.
Patterns detected: ARC-0024 Ambiguity (in the framing of genetic determinism as a neutral scientific debate), ARC-0043 Motte-and-Bailey (using eugenics as a "motte" while promoting genetic hierarchies as the "bailey").

Sentinel — Human

Confidence

The article exhibits strong human stylistic markers, including personal voice, humor, and erratic structure, with no significant signs of synthetic generation.

Signals Detected
low severity: Sentence length variance is high, with erratic rhythm and idiosyncratic phrasing (e.g., 'bursting at the seams with methodological errors').
low severity: Strong personal voice and stylistic fingerprint (e.g., sarcasm, informal asides like ':-(').
low severity: Specific, verifiable references (e.g., 'Cancer Alley,' 'Flynn Effect') with clear attribution.
Human Indicators
Idiosyncratic humor and informal tone (e.g., 'Your Honor, I submit the cases of George W. Bush and Donald J. Trump').
Personal anecdotes and subjective opinions (e.g., 'Frankly, with the way the world is going...').
Erratic transitions and digressions (e.g., sudden shift to IQ testing in 5th grade).