The Decision Brief
Driving Innovation and Partnerships Forward
Christine Duffy, President, Carnival Cruise Line
Moderated by Peter Greenberg, CBS News
THE VERDICT
Guest behaviors are materially changing. Duffy said the behavioral shift since COVID is real and measurable: guests who used to request 8 p.m. late seating are now lining up at 5 p.m., and “people absolutely do not want” the 90-minute formal dining experience anymore. Carnival created express dining (under an hour) and flexible-time formats to match. The change is about how travelers use their time, a shift hospitality companies should all be considering.
PATHS FORWARD
- Redesign around how guests actually use time. Duffy said guests wanted flexibility from the traditional multi-course dining ritual are are looking to move independently between activities and reconvene on their own terms, especially multi-generational groups. Companies that redesign their products around observed behavior have a much better opportunity to keep those guests.
- Use AI to assist human agents. Duffy said Carnival tried AI agents in its contact center and found that replacing humans didn’t work. “What we’re finding that it is more effective is assist from the AI agents rather than the AI agent.” Travel companies deploying AI as a full replacement for customer-facing staff may have to learn the same lesson.
WHAT TO WATCH
- Duffy said “we’ll see” what the EU decides about reports of MSC being in preliminary talks to acquire an 80% stake in the Meyer Werft shipyard, but acknowledged the implication: if the deal goes through, a competitor would control the newbuild slots Carnival and Disney are using for upcoming ships. With limited yards able to build large cruise ships, owning one would give a cruise line leverage over its rivals’ delivery schedules.
- Duffy said guests aren’t holding back on onboard spending despite economic uncertainty, and Carnival is promoting more packages. The possibility of a ceiling — where incremental charges erode the value perception— is worth watching.
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Facts Only
* Guests requested 8 p.m. late seating but now line up at 5 p.m.
* Guests no longer want the 90-minute formal dining experience.
* Carnival created express dining formats under one hour.
* The behavioral change is linked to how travelers use their time.
* Carnival tested AI agents in its contact center and found that replacement of humans did not work.
* The most effective use of AI is assisting human agents rather than full replacement.
* There is uncertainty regarding the EU decision on MSC's potential acquisition of an 80% stake in the Meyer Werft shipyard.
* If the shipyard deal goes through, a competitor could control newbuild slots for Carnival and Disney ships.
* Owning a shipyard could give a cruise line leverage over rivals’ delivery schedules.
* Guests are still spending onboard despite economic uncertainty.
* Carnival is promoting more packages.
Executive Summary
Guest behaviors are shifting, with examples including guests moving late seating requests from 8 p.m. to 5 p.m., and a reduced desire for the traditional 90-minute formal dining experience. In response, Carnival introduced express dining options under one hour and flexible time formats. This shift highlights a change in how travelers utilize their time, prompting hospitality companies to reevaluate their offerings.
The future direction involves redesigning products around observed guest behavior to retain customers. Additionally, regarding technology, deploying AI agents is more effective when used to assist human agents rather than fully replacing them in customer-facing roles. Looking ahead, there is uncertainty regarding potential changes in shipyard ownership and potential ceilings on onboard spending despite current economic conditions.
Full Take
Sentinel — Human
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