The strongest version of this narrative is that AI is advancing rapidly in specialized domains—cybersecurity, business automation, and task performance—while economic impacts remain incremental. The Lyptus study provides concrete evidence of AI's growing offensive cyber capabilities, and the INSEAD/Harvard research shows measurable business benefits from AI adoption. MIT's "rising tide" metaphor effectively captures the gradual but pervasive nature of AI automation. However, the Forecasting Rese...